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Added the reconciling experts notebook to the table of contents.
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BenZickel committed Dec 30, 2024
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1 change: 1 addition & 0 deletions tutorial/source/index.rst
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stable
forecast_simple
timeseries
reconciling_experts

.. toctree::
:maxdepth: 1
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5 changes: 3 additions & 2 deletions tutorial/source/reconciling_experts.ipynb
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"cell_type": "markdown",
"metadata": {},
"source": [
"# Reconciling Experts\n",
"# Example: Reconciling Expert Opinions\n",
"\n",
"This tutorial demonstrates how time dependent expert opinions can be reconciled in a Bayesian framework. We make use of the following effect handlers in order to modify model behavior:\n",
"- [poutine.reparam](http://docs.pyro.ai/en/latest/poutine.html#pyro.poutine.handlers.reparam) for splitting observations to several random variables using the [SplitReparam](https://docs.pyro.ai/en/latest/infer.reparam.html#pyro.infer.reparam.split.SplitReparam) reparameterizer.\n",
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"\n",
"## Summary\n",
"- Effect handlers are useful in modifying model behavior, beyond the straightforward use of effect handlers in order to condition models on known observations. \n",
"- Directly sampling from modified models is often not possible, and one should resort to inference methods such as SVI or MCMC in order to sample from models modified by effect handlers. This is true even if the models are not conditioned on known observations.\n",
"- Directly sampling from modified models is often not possible, and one should resort to inference methods such as SVI or MCMC in order to sample from models modified by effect handlers.\n",
"- The above is true even if the models are not conditioned on known observations.\n",
"\n",
"\n",
"## Some Preliminaries\n",
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