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NFL Analytics

In this repo, I'll explore the nflverse:: packages along with a variety of data sources. Any analysis within will have a bias toward the Pittsburgh Steelers.

File Description
draft_picks.Rmd Initial (limited) exploration of the data available from load_draft_picks() and load_combine() functions.
epa.Rmd Exploration of the Expected Points Added metric as the 2024 season unfolds.
next_gen.Rmd Exploration of NFL Next Gen Stats and Pro Football Reference data, borrowing heavily from Brad Congelio's book, Introduction to NFL Analytics with R.
personnel_groupings.Rmd Initial exploration of snap count and personnel grouping data.
top_plays.Rmd Explores the top plays from prior games, in terms of EPA and win probability, a la Unexpected Points.
understanding_nflverse.Rmd Explores the nflreadr:: package with the help of Brad Congelio's book, Introduction to NFL Analytics with R.
unexpected_points.Rmd Explores some of the data and attempts to replicate/understand the metrics used in the Unexpected Points Substack.
receiver_tracking_metrics_espn.Rmd Scrapes the ESPN Analytics site and explores the Receiver Tracking Metrics, including receiver ratings like Open Score, Catch Score, and YAC score.
defensive_adv_stats.Rmd Exploring the relationship between defensive EPA per play and defensive success rate -- is "bend don't break" sustainable? (in progress)
passing_breakdown.Rmd Exploring some passing-related questions as they come, including EPA, play action success, and more.
weekly_cuts.Rmd Working on a structure to analyze effectiveness week to week, summarizing offensive EPA and success rates (in progress).
fines.Rmd Scrapes Spotrac's database of NFL fines and suspensions.

2024 EPA per play on play action passes

2024 NFL Quarterbacks and EPA metrics

2024 Defensive EPA metrics: Run vs. Pass

2024 Rush yards over expected vs. total rush yards

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