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<!DOCTYPE html>
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<head>
<title>Stan @ ISEC 2020</title>
<meta charset="utf-8" />
<meta name="author" content="The Crew" />
<meta name="date" content="2020-06-20" />
<link rel="stylesheet" href="xaringan-themer.css" type="text/css" />
</head>
<body>
<textarea id="source">
class: center, middle, inverse, title-slide
# Stan @ ISEC 2020
### The Crew
### 20 June 2020
---
class: inverse, center, middle
# Statistical Models
---
## Model Checking:
-- `Residuals`
-- `Prior Predictive Checks`
-- `Posterior Predictive Checks`
-- `Predictive Accuracy`
---
class: inverse, middle
# Statistical Model Assessment `\(\neq\)` (Biologically) Useful Model
---
class: inverse
#Biological Realism
`In what manner does my model represent biologically/ecologically important features, and where does it fail?`
---
---
### Interpreting the Statistical Results...
...by the data that your model generates.
In particular, pretend each realization is something that actually occurred, does it make sense? Generate a population/group/system, where does your model fail?
--
### Challenge
Make your model stand out by inserting **at least 1** structure that is specific to your system.
--
Yes, even with a GLM. Even a linear model.
---
class: inverse, middle
## Embrace Your Domain Expertise
**it's the most important part of the story!**
---
### Stan Help/Advice
https://discourse.mc-stan.org/
---
class: inverse, center
### Stan Ecology Community
https://stanecology.github.io
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